Vice President Kamala Harris And former President Donald Trump They’ve been statistically equal lately Forbes/HarrisX national survey It was released late Monday.

Among the 4,520 registered voters surveyed, Harris holds a razor-thin lead over Trump at 49% to 48%, with 3% favoring third-party candidates. When participants are asked to choose Only Between Harris and Trump, the vice president’s lead increased slightly to 49-47%, with undecided voters at 4%.

Questionnaire Taken online between October 30th and November 1st and has a margin of error of ±1%.

Among respondents who said they had already voted, Harris was ahead of Trump by 56% to 40%, according to the poll.

“Price increases/inflation” was among the top topics for respondents, with 36% of survey respondents saying it was a top-of-mind topic. Immigration And economy 32% and 31% of respondents respectively placed them at the top of the list. Abortion 16% of survey respondents said it was one of their top issues, coming in as the fourth most important issue.

“The race will come down to turnout tomorrow, especially for Trump,” Dritan Nesho, CEO and chief pollster at HarrisX, an analytics firm with no ties to Kamala Harris, told Forbes. “Trump has historically outperformed in the polls in both 2016 and 2020 due to his ability to turn out low-propensity voters and win over voters who are making their decisions at the last minute.”

Things to consider when voting

The margin of error defines how accurately we can trust that survey results represent the entire population.

When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie.” Pew Research Center.

Pew also has It found that the majority of pollsters had changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, when Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

This article first appeared on USA TODAY: Forbes/HarrisX presidential race poll: Trump or Harris ahead?