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US elections: What does Donald Trump’s victory mean for the world?
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US elections: What does Donald Trump’s victory mean for the world?

Donald Trump picks up a pipe after voting at the Mandel Recreation Center on Election Day in Palm Beach, Florida, USA, November 5, 2024

Wow, where does this photo come from? Getty Images

  • Writer, Tom Bateman
  • Role, BBC Foreign Office correspondent
  • It is reported from: Washington D.C.

Donald Trump will return to the White House to reshape US foreign policy, promising potentially radical changes on many fronts as war and uncertainty continue in many parts of the world.

During his campaign, Trump made very broad promises that we won’t get to specific details, based on the principles of non-interference and trade protectionism, or as I say, “America First.”

Amid years of parallel crises, I have gained a glimpse of one of the most significant potential disruptions to Washington’s approach to foreign affairs.

From our records during my campaign and as President from 2017 to 2021, we have put together some unlikely approaches to different areas.

Russia, Ukraine and NATO

Trump said many times during his campaign that he would end the war between Russia and Ukraine “in one day.” They asked me how I was doing, suggested I go and inspect a deal, but refused to give details.

The United States will continue to supply weapons to Ukraine, but that support will be conditional if Kiev agrees to peace with Russia, says a research paper written for May by two of Trump’s former national security chiefs.

To convince Russia, the West promised to delay Ukraine’s entry into NATO. Former advisers say Ukraine will not give up hopes of retaking all of its dia lands from Russian occupation, but it must be negotiated according to existing front lines.

Trump’s Democratic opponents do not accuse me of seeking friendship with Russian President Vladimir Putin, but they say that my approach would mean surrendering on behalf of Ukraine and that I would endanger all of Europe.

They told me several times that my priority was to end the war and stop the depletion of US resources.

It’s not clear to what extent the former advisers’ articles represent Trump’s own thinking, but they will likely give us a guide to the advice we’ll receive.

My “America First” approach to ending the war also includes the strategic issue of the future of NATO: the transatlantic all-for-one, one-for-all military alliance originally established after World War II as a defense against the Soviets. Unity.

A resident examines the apartment building that was hit during a Russian drone strike on the village of Krasylivka in the Chernihiv region, Ukraine, on November 3, 2024.

Wow, where does this photo come from? Getty Images

We call this photography, Russia to launch full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022

NATO no longer receives more than 30 contracts as a member, and Trump has long criticized the alliance, accusing Europe of letting loose on America’s promise of protection.

The de facto withdrawal of the United States from NATO signals the most significant change in transatlantic defense relations in nearly a century, and it is still a matter of debate.

Some of my allies say I am not being heavy-handed by simply using a negotiating tactic to ensure members abide by the alliance’s defense spending rules.

However, in reality, it can be said that NATO leaders have serious concerns about what Trump’s victory will mean for their future.

Di Middle East

As with Ukraine, Trump does not promise to bring “peace” to the Middle East; He implies that I will end the Israel-Hamas war for Gaza and the Israel-Hezbollah war for Lebanon, but I don’t know how.

I repeat several times, if I come to power instead of Joe Biden, we are Hamas, a funding group, not to attack Israel for the sake of the “maximum pressure” policy towards Iran.

They will likely say that Trump will attempt to return to his own policies, which would lead to Trump withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal, imposing greater sanctions on Iran, and killing Iran’s most powerful military commander, General Qasem Soleimani.

On behalf of the White House, Trump is strongly implementing pro-Israel policies. Name Jerusalem the capital of Israel and move the US embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem; It’s a move that will further strengthen Trump’s Christian evangelical base, his core group of Republican voters.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called Trump “the best friend Israel could never have in the White House.”

But critics argue that my policy has had a destabilizing effect on the region.

Palestinians boycotted the Trump administration after Washington relinquished its claim to Jerusalem, the historic center of Palestinian national and religious life.

This group became even more isolated after Trump brokered the so-called “Abraham Accords”, a single agreement to normalize diplomatic ties between Israel and many Arab and Muslim countries.

The agreement does not require Israel to accept a future independent Palestinian state (the so-called two-state solution); We are one of the conditions offered by the Arab contracts for such a regional agreement.

Instead, the issue is access to advanced US weapons in exchange for recognition of Israel.

In their view, the Palestinians represent one of the most isolated spots in world history, with a single power exerting pressure on both sides of the conflict, further eroding their ability to sustain the war on the ground.

Trump made various statements during his campaign, saying he wanted the Gaza war to end.

I have a complicated relationship with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, but I certainly have difficulty applying pressure in the morning.

We also have a history of strong relationships with the leaders of key Arab countries where we engage with Hamas.

It is always clear how we will proceed between wanting to show strong support for the Israeli leadership while also trying to end this war.

Trump’s allies often portray the unpredictability as a diplomatic win, but it’s unclear how this will play out for the highly contested and unstable Middle East amid a crisis already reaching historic proportions.

Trump will decide how to advance the diplomatic process after Biden declares a ceasefire in exchange for the release of hostages held by Hamas.

china and trade

America’s approach to China is the most strategically important area of ​​foreign policy and has the greatest consequences for global security and trade.

After taking office, Trump called China a “strategic rival” and additionally imposed tariffs on some Chinese goods coming from China to the United States. This led Beijing to impose tit-for-tat tariffs on the best American goods.

Dem bin is pushing to de-escalate the trade dispute but the Covid pandemic rules out that possibility and relations deteriorated further when Trump bin labeled Covid the “Chinese virus”.

While the Biden administration claims to be taking a more responsible approach to China policy, it is actually keeping in place many of the Trump-era tariffs on imports.

Trade policy is not becoming closely linked to domestic voters’ perceptions of protecting American manufacturing jobs in the United States—even though many long-term jobs are in decline for traditional U.S. industries such as steel, driven largely by factory automation and production changes and global competition. -supporting.

Trump praises Chinese President Xi Jinping as “smart”, “dangerous” and a highly effective leader who controls 1.4 billion pipes with an “iron fist”, a move that opponents see as Trump’s admiration for “dictators” part

The former president will likely move away from the Biden administration’s approach of building stronger US security partnerships through regional agreements to contain China.

The United States continues to provide military aid to self-governing Taiwan, which it views as a breakaway province that China will eventually take control of.

In October, Trump said that if we were back in the White House, I would not need to use military force to stop China from blockading Taiwan because President Xi knows what he said is “crazy” and if that happens, I will impose crippling tariffs on Chinese imports. became one.