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Trump’s election victory boosted by shifting loyalty of these voters
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Trump’s election victory boosted by shifting loyalty of these voters

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WASHINGTON — A realignment among Latino voters and a smaller shift among Black voters in key swing states helped the boom Donald Trump his election victory against Kamala Harris The Republican candidate expanded his support by splitting voters from two key Democratic constituencies.

And the signs of a change may have been there all along.

While Harris spent much of her campaign attacking Trump as a dangerous former president bent on revenge and power, polls have consistently shown that voters prefer Trump over Harris to address their top priorities: rising costs and inflation.

Although Trump fell short of a majority in either group, he won the support of about 13 percent of black voters and 45 percent of Latino voters nationally. CNN exit polls. In the 2020 election, Trump won just 8% of Black voters and 32% of Latino voters.

Black voters have long been the Democratic Party’s most loyal voting bloc, often sweeping Democrats to victory.

Trump achieved these advances thanks to the support of mostly black and Latino men, helping him outperform his 2020 performance in Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Detroit and other cities.

In a major swing, Trump won Latino men over Harris, 54 percent to 44 percent. NBC exit pollsAfter supporting President Joe Biden over Trump 59% to 36% in 2020. Trump won 20% of black male voters nationally over Harris; Those are numbers similar to those the Republican candidate had against President Joe Biden in the 2020 election.

The former president’s gains show that his working-class voter base has expanded beyond non-college-educated white voters; This is a warning sign for Democrats that threatens their base in elections beyond this year.

Harris won blue-collar voters without a college degree by 55-42%, while Harris won wealthier voters with a college degree by 57-40%. In 2020, Trump won voters without a college degree by a narrow margin of 50% to 48% over Biden.

But perhaps the biggest and most important change since 2020 has been support among Latino voters.

Trump’s gains with Latino voters Harsh rhetoric against immigrants. Harris’ campaign sought to capitalize on comedian Tony Hinchcliffe’s joke that Trump called Puerto Rico a “floating garbage island” at his rally at Madison Square Garden.

Arturo Munoz, a truck driver from Phoenix, Arizona, said Trump’s sweeping message to address high costs resonated with him and other Latino men still struggling to make ends meet. Munoz, 28, said he felt a difference in how far his paycheck would stretch from 2016 to 2020 and 2020 to 2024.

He said the insult at Madison Square Garden did not detract from Trump’s big message.

“Hispanic and Latino men are physically very hardworking,” Munoz said, adding: “Hispanic men work their butts off every day.” “The difference in wages, the difference in hours, the difference in deductions, the difference in providing for their families. “I saw this.”

Latino men are disproportionately They work in construction and maintenance jobs that are low-wage and require heavy labor compared to all U.S. men.

Munoz worked at a gas station from 2016 to 2020 before taking a job driving a truck, which was expected to be a job that would offer better pay and more opportunities. However, due to the state of the economy, he said that he would prefer to work in his 2016 job.

“I’m pretty sure the Spanish feel the same way,” he said. “They’d rather take 2016 into 2020, pay, hours, supplies and other things, rather than what they’ve had for the last four years.”

Trump’s incursions into Latino voters have gone beyond key battleground states like Arizona and Nevada. In South Texas, a former Democratic stronghold, Trump upset Starr County, which has been favored by Democrats in every presidential election since 1896.

Former President Barack Obama, meanwhile, gave an early warning about Harris’ situation last month. Black men’s problem When he said they “found every reason and excuse” not to support Harris. He suggested that many people do not support Harris because she is a woman.

In Pennsylvania, 24% of Black men support Trump, while 73% of Black men support Harris, according to a CNN state exit poll. That was more than double the number of Black men in the state who supported Trump in 2020.

Harris tried to make ground with this group of voters. publish the economic agenda For Black men, the proposal includes legalizing marijuana for recreational use and offering 1 million “fully forgivable” loans to Black business owners and new federal regulations on cryptocurrency to protect investors in digital currency.

Melvin Prince Johnakin, second vice president of the Philadelphia NAACP, said concerns about crime and immigration, as well as a slow recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, are among the reasons black men are drifting away from Democrats.

“At the end of the day, we decided to take a stand,” Johnakin said. “We had a strong leader like Donald Trump.”

There was a decline in higher education enrollment among Latino men following the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic. According to the research, only one in five Latino men aged 25-29 has a college degree, compared to 27% of Latino men of the same age. Pew Research Center.

Overall, 79% of Hispanic adults do not have a bachelor’s degree, while 62% of U.S. adults ages 25 and older do not have a bachelor’s degree.

New York State Sen. Gustavo Rivera, a Democrat who represents the Bronx, expressed concerns in a recent interview about the lack of sustained support for Latino voters beyond election cycles. He said better connectivity must be maintained to stop the erosion of support from the Democratic Party.

“There’s no doubt about it,” Rivera said.