Most polls in Wisconsin — where 10 electoral votes can be crucial — reflect a very slim race; Harris is just one point ahead of FiveThirtyEight. weighted average.

Harris and Trump tied at 49% in Emerson College/The Hill finale questionnaire It will be out on Monday (margin of error 3.4 points).

Harris leads 49% to 47% among likely voters in the latest New York Times/Siena pre-election polls questionnaire It was announced on Sunday (margin of error 3.5 points), but appears to have a roughly one-point lead over Trump. Morning Consultation This poll puts it up to about 48-48%.

Harris leads Marist 50%-48% questionnaire On Friday, likely voters, including undecided voters leaning toward one candidate, were reported (margin of error 3.4 points) and were up 50%-49% among likely voters at Marquette Law School questionnaire Released Wednesday, which includes undecided voters leaning toward one of the candidates (margin of error 4.4 points), it shows Trump significantly narrowing the six-point lead Harris had in the school previous survey It was released on October 2.

Harris has a larger lead of 51-45 percent CNN/SSRS poll again on Wednesday (margin of error 4.8 points) and has a 50-47% advantage over Trump in the Cooperative Election Study questionnaire It was published last week by YouGov (1,542 respondents) as part of a national study conducted by universities.

Voter turnout in Wisconsin could be high in November because the state has so many competitive U.S. House races and Republicans are in a tight race to maintain majority control in the state House, said Anthony Chergosky, an assistant professor of political science at the university. of Wisconsin-La Crosse said WUWM public radio in Milwaukee.

The Cook Political Report also sees the decline in support for Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin in the Wisconsin Senate race as a warning sign for Democrats. carried the state His lead from weak Democrat to a loss last week after finding his lead over Republican Eric Hovde has fallen from seven points to two since August, but a Marquette Law School poll also released last week found him still holding a seven-point advantage.

Biden won Wisconsin by less than a point in 2020, flipping the state after Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in 2016; Former President Barack Obama won the state by decisive margins in both 2008 and 2012.