Morning Joe homeowner Joe Scarborough continued with everything Ann Selzer Poll unexpectedly named vice president in Iowa Kamala Harris in front of the former president Donald Trump It could point to a broader advance toward Harris in what was previously expected to be a safe Republican state, calling the data a “canary in the coal mine.”

Selzer’s survey Des Moines Register, published on saturdayIt revealed that Harris had a three-point lead over her Republican opponent.

Scarborough revealed on Monday’s show how he escaped the “dark zone” he experienced over the pre-election weekend, where he refused to look at the media while co-hosting Mika Brzezinski He called her to ask if she had seen Selzer’s survey.

He says quietly: ‘Have you seen the Iowa poll?’ ‘What Iowa poll?’ I ask. I’m looking at South Carolina. They look pretty good. ‘Oh, Ann Selzer put Harris up by three points in Iowa,’ he says. What am I like? Then I’m on the phone the rest of the night… First of all, Ann tells the truth every time. Almost always.

Coverage referred to MSNBC national affairs analyst John Heilemann Praising Selzer for his accuracy, he recalled Selzer’s correct predictions in 2016, 2012 and 2008, and noted that he missed the call he made in 2004 by only one point.

Scarborough added: “I said it on Saturday, it’s the canary in the coal mine!”

soon Morning Joe Host Selzer elaborated on her findings, noting Harris’ demographic gains among women in the state: “Kamala Harris wins more with women than she loses with men.” Selzer added that abortion is a big part of the race and is also affecting congressional races, where Democrats lead incumbent Republicans by 20 points in the primary district.

Scarborough ‘outlier’ is back to justify his poll excitement and why “may” have nationwide significance: “Ann doesn’t need to do this because Ann was right four years ago. It just looks at the data and puts it out there. “If people are asking what’s going on here and why this outlier might be a canary in the coal mine, it’s the same reason John Heilemann said four years ago that there was a big swing toward Trump.”

He added: “Ann trusted the data. She didn’t have to play with the numbers because she didn’t have to adjust to past failures.”

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