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Flacco Uses His Arm Well
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Flacco Uses His Arm Well

Joe Flacco has been given back the keys to the Colts’ offense and he will put his arm to good use.

Josh Inglis - Betting Analyst at Covers.com

November 1, 2024 • 15:43 ET

• 4 minute read

Photo: – Imagn Images. Pictured: Joe Flacco steps back to let fly against the Indianapolis Colts.

This could be a high-scoring prime time matchup between the Indianapolis Colts and the host Minnesota Vikings, who are on a two-game series after a 5-0 start to the season.

With another skilled pass under center for Indianapolis and the Minnesota offense surrendering to opposing receivers, Colts vs. My Vikings predictions expect Joe Flacco to throw a pair of TD passes.

Here’s me NFL picks for the Sunday Night Football game on Sunday, November 3.

Colts vs Vikings SNF prediction

my best bet
Joe Flacco more than 1.5 passing TDs (+140 at bet365)

my analysis
In his last eight games with the ageless but talented Browns, dating back to last year. Joe Flacco He is averaging 291.5 passing yards, 24.3 completions and 2.5 passing TDs per game.

Those are crazy numbers, and that’s one reason why the buzz surrounding the Anthony Richardson signing was so loud after the Week 8 loss to the Texans.

Flacco hasn’t thrown for fewer than two TDs in any of those eight games (seven starts) and has totaled 20 passing touchdowns during that span. Just looking at his three games this year against Pittsburgh, Jacksonville and the Titans, we see that he has 716 passing yards and a 7:1 TD:INT ratio.

Flacco now faces Minnesota VikingsThey allow the most completions per game (26.6), the third-most passing yards per game (263), and the fifth-most passing TDs per game (2.0).

Add: Indianapolis Colts It could be an indoor environment to chase points and increase passing volume and efficiency, and bettors have no reason to doubt Flacco on Sunday night.

He’s got a ton of weapons as the market starts to pile up Josh DownsFlacco is overrated for having a 27% target share when he plays, but Michael Pittman is another great target. Jonathan Taylor in the passing game.

The heavily used back didn’t fare well in the passing game under Richardson, but he had his best receiving play in Week 4 with Flacco, getting three grabs and four targets for 20 yards.

The book may be off heavy blitz defense, as opposing QBs have thrown 12 TDs against the Vikes in the last four games. The books continue to disrespect Flacco.

Colts vs Vikings SNF same game matchup

Joe Flacco 2+ passing touchdowns

Justin Jefferson 100+ receiving yards

Josh Downs 6+ receptions

Flacco hasn’t thrown for fewer than two TDs in any game since receiving the call-up from the Browns last year. This is an eight-game stretch in which he also averaged nearly 300 yards per game.

justin jefferson We’re ready for another big game indoors against the Colts’ 23rd-ranked pass defense in EPA/dropback. The Minnesota WR is coming off his second 100-yard game and has yet to get under 81 yards since Week 1.

In five indoor games this year, Jefferson averaged 102.3 yards per game on 12.8 targets, while he recorded 78.7 yards and 8.4 targets outdoors.

The last match is Josh Downs, which bettors flocked to. His receptions over 5.5 have dropped to as low as -170 in some places at the time of this writing.

He is Flacco’s top targeted receiver at 27% under center and has games seven, eight and nine with Flacco with 30 total targets in three games. Let’s take a shot Sunday night.

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Colts-Vikings betting odds

Colts-Vikings live betting odds

Colts-Vikings opening odds

  • Radiate: Indianapolis +6.5 | Minnesota -6.5
  • money line: Indianapolis +255 | Minnesota -315
  • Top/Bottom: Over 46 | under 46 years old

Rates courtesy bet365

Colts vs Vikings breakdown and Over/Under analysis

  • The Vikings rose as high as -7 last week, reopened at -6.5, and then rose to -5.5 the day before the Flacco move was officially announced.
  • Joe Flacco only played one game against Jonathan Taylor in Week 4 before getting injured and missing three straight games. It will be interesting to see the Colts’ rushing pace with Taylor, but an improvement in passing with Flacco, who threw the ball 26 times with Taylor and 44 and 38 without him.
  • Indoor games increase passing volume and efficiency. I don’t think it’s always priced out.
  • The Vikings enter Sunday on extra rest after a Week 8 30-20 loss to the Rams on Thursday Night Football.

Knowing the Colts vs Vikings betting trend

The Indianapolis Colts have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.30 Units / 33% ROI). find more NFL betting trends Colts vs. For Vikings.

Colts vs Vikings game information

Location: US Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota
History: Sunday, 11-3, 2024
To start: 20:20 ET
TV: NBC

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Colts-Vikings weather

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