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NFL Week 9 Total Bets: Prime-Time Postpone Festival
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NFL Week 9 Total Bets: Prime-Time Postpone Festival

Over/Under bet #1: Commanders and Giants Over 44.0

When these teams meet in Week 2, I would bet on the Under 43 team and although that would make money, I think we will have a higher scoring game this Sunday.

at that time Washington Commanders They were still playing conservatively on offense, with rookie Jayden Daniels barely getting downfield. Since then, Daniels has emerged as an elite player, ranking fifth in the league in QBR (72.6) and leading the Commanders offense highs in the NFL in EPA/play.

New York Giants They’ve struggled to finish drives, but their offense is trending in the right direction thanks to a pair of rookies. Malik Nabers is quickly becoming one of the league’s best receivers, while Tyrone Tracy Jr. He rushed for over 100 yards in two of his last four games.

They must be able to move the ball against Commander’s stop unit, which ranks 29th in the league with a defensive success rate that struggles with run and pass. The Giants have also shown cracks on defense, ranking 22nd in defensive success rate and 30th in opponent passing efficiency (104.3).

Over/Under bet #2: Dolphins and Bills Over 49.5

Tua Tagovailoa is back Miami Dolphins He looked pretty sharp last week considering his six-week absence following the concussion he suffered in Week 2 against the Buffalo Bills. Tagovailoa shook off the pass to complete 28 of 38 passes for 234 yards against the Cardinals, and his timing should be even better this week.

The rest of the offense is at full strength and with Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle and De’Von Achane, the Dolphins are on pace to score points against anyone.

However, they can’t hold their own against competent offenses and rank just 27th in the league in defensive DVOA. This defense was torn apart by Arizona last week and could get even worse with DL Zach Sieler, Nickleback Kader Kohou and senior safety Jevon Holland sidelined by injuries.

Buffalo Bills Have a balanced attack that ranks third in the league in EPA/play. Josh Allen also has a track record of lighting up the Dolphins, and the Bills have given up by 30-plus points in four of the last five meetings between these AFC East rivals.

Over/Under bet #3: Buccaneers and Chiefs Under 45.5

Tampa Bay Pirates QB Baker Mayfield threw for 330 yards last week without Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. But that was against the Falcons’ abysmal pass defense, and he will actually be missing his two best pass receivers this week against a Kansas City Chiefs defense that ranked ninth in EPA/play and allowed just 17.6 points.

The Chiefs also have a slew of gunshot wounds with Isiah Pacheco, Rashee Rice and Hollywood Brown on IR, along with Juju Smith-Schuster missing.

The Under is 4-1 in Kansas City’s last five games, and the only contest in which the Over cashed came when the Raiders’ garbage-time TD pushed the game just a notch with two minutes remaining.

Patrick Mahomes is an elite player, but there’s only so much he can do with mediocre weapons, and he’s averaging 235.9 passing yards per game, the worst number of his career.

His average air yards per attempt (5.8) failed to push the ball downfield, ranking as the second-lowest in the league among 38 qualifying quarterbacks.

Another reason we love the Under is that Arrowhead is expected to have wet weather with a 99% chance of showers.