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Latest polls between Harris and Trump

Harry October 29, 2024

presidential election There’s only one week left and Democrat Kamala Harris And Republican Donald Trump We are alone in our efforts to win voters in key battleground states.

Latest polls show a tight race between the two presidential candidates in Wisconsin, Minnesota and Michigan. Nationally, Harris appears to have finally gained a one-point lead over Trump lately questionnaire from TIPP after three days in a row The two nearly tied.

Given these razor-thin margins, it’s no surprise that Trump and Harris spent the final days of their campaigns hosting rallies and courting voters in swing states.

Emberswho is planned to host a new conference An evening rally will also be hosted Tuesday at Mar-a-Lago in Allentown, Pennsylvania, about 60 miles northwest of Philadelphia. Harris Will attend a rally in Washington DCsame point Where Trump gave an impassioned speech Nearly four years ago, before a mob of his supporters stormed the Capitol on January 6, 2021.

Here’s what you need to know about the presidential election to be held on Tuesday, October 29:

Election 2024 live updates: Trump holds PA rally, Harris gives DC speech; latest polls

Trump leads Harris 48% to 47% in Wisconsin in USA TODAY/Suffolk poll

Trump and Harris are nearly tied in Wisconsin, 48% to 47%. According to a USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll out of 500 possible voters.

The results are within the survey’s 4.4 percent margin of error. The survey was conducted between 20 and 23 October.

Harris has a slight lead in Door County, Wisconsin, the state’s bellwether. According to the poll of 300 voters in Door County, Harris leads Trump in this district with 50 percent to 47 percent. The results are still within the 5.7 percent margin of error.

while there is typically gender difference David Paleologos, director of the Center for Political Studies at Suffolk University, said the effects of the gap between Trump and Harris supporters are more pronounced in the state.

In Wisconsin, Harris has a 14-point lead over Trump among women; 55% to 41%. But Trump had an 18 percentage point increase over Harris among men, 56% to 38%.

Harris leads Trump 48 percent to 45 percent in Minnesota poll

As the finish line approaches, there are very few undecided voters left in Minnesota to support Trump or Harris. MinnPost-Embold Research survey found.

The poll of 1,734 likely voters in the state showed Harris with a slight advantage over Trump, 48-45%; This almost mirrors the result of a similar survey conducted last month. The results were within the survey’s 2.4 percentage point margin of error.

Only 2% of survey respondents said they were undecided; This rate is lower than 3% in September. The survey was conducted between October 16 and October 22.

Among the candidates and their vice presidential candidates, only Tim Walz had a favorable rating (2%) in the state where he is also governor. Steven Schier, a political science professor emeritus at Carleton College, said Walz’s high positive ratings “will probably result in a small surge” for Harris.

Harris leads Trump by three percentage points in new Michigan poll

Harris holds narrow three-point lead over Trump a new survey Commissioned by WDIV Local 4 News and Detroit News.

The poll of 600 people, conducted from Oct. 22 to Oct. 24, showed Harris leading 47% to 44%, with a margin of error of 4%.

The new poll, which supports other polls, found that jobs and the economy continue to motivate voters; 41.4% said it was the most important issue in the election. Nearly 20% said immigration was the most important issue.

Harris gains slight lead in latest TIPP poll

After three days of stalemate, Harris appears to have gained a slight one-point lead over Trump. TIPP’s Follow-up Survey As of Tuesday morning.

Harris leads 48% to 47% in the latest online poll of 1,291 likely voters from Saturday through Monday, with a margin of error of 2.7 points.

But the survey shows that 53% of Americans say their economy is worse than before the pandemic. Democrats are the most optimistic group; 51 percent say they are better off, while 68 percent of Republicans say they are worse off.

Independents largely reflect the national mood; 55 percent say the economy is worse.

“This dissatisfaction is a headwind for Harris that Trump can exploit,” according to the poll.

Things to consider when voting

The margin of error describes how accurately we can trust that survey results represent the entire population.

When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie.” Pew Research Center.

Pew also has It found that the majority of pollsters had changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, when Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

Contributors: Rebecca MorinUSA TODAY

Eric Lagatta covers breaking and trending news for USA TODAY. Reach him at [email protected]