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Young Men May Rock Pennsylvania as Gender, Age Gaps Show Familiar Trends
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Young Men May Rock Pennsylvania as Gender, Age Gaps Show Familiar Trends

In the high-stakes state of Pennsylvania, gender and age gaps in polls reveal trends similar to the 2020 election.

President four years ago Joe Biden He won Pennsylvania by less than two percentage points. But voters under 30 voted for Democrats instead of former President Donald Trump By 27 points.

According to a GIS News poll conducted October 22-28, Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris He leads Trump, he Republican The challenger is 65-33 among Pennsylvania voters under 30. Meanwhile, Trump holds a 56-42 lead among all male voters in the Keystone State.

Allentown students
From left, William Allen High School student Ian Neubauer, Muhlenberg College students Jake and Conor, and Muhlenberg College student Matan Dolev are shown on Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Four young men spoke to Newsweek…


Monica Sager/Newsweek

Recently, an average of three New York Times/Siena College surveys, The survey, conducted from September to October, shows Trump leading Harris among young men nationally by 21 points (58 percent to 37 percent).

Harris, meanwhile, holds a 39-point advantage among young women (67 percent to 28 percent) but has struggled to close the former president’s lead among young men.

On the eve of Election Day, news week He spoke to four young men in Lehigh County Critical emissions state of Pennsylvania.

While two Muhlenberg College students did not share who they voted for, another student sided with Harris, even attending her rally at the private college in Allentown on Monday. A high school student told news week He said he didn’t plan to vote.

“I think everything about this election is blown out of proportion,” said Conor, a Muhlenberg College student who did not share his voting preferences with his friend Jake.

Ian Neubauer, an 18-year-old William Allen High School student, said he did not plan to vote Monday.

“There are different views on the election,” said Neubauer, who recently attended a Trump rally and Harris’ Muhlenberg rally. “I’m just trying to listen.”

Matan Dolev, a 22-year-old Muhlenberg student, attended the Harris rally and said: news week, “We should bring him to the office.”

“To be honest, I’m not too worried,” Dolev said. “A lot of people are talking, but I think we’ll make it happen.”

Harvard Kennedy School’s survey of young people aged 18-29 A 10-point gender gap was also detected in September; While Trump received 38 percent support from young men and 28 percent from young women, Harris’ support was 49 percent among men and 59 percent among women.

Additionally, a poll conducted by the Alliance for Black Equality from October 15-19 found that 35 percent of Gen Z Black men support Trump; This rate is the highest among Black voters surveyed.

Sarah Longwell, publisher Bulwark says there is gender gap this election season This isn’t just about hot topics like abortion and Trump’s temperament. Fragmented media diets are especially common among young voters, especially those ages 18 to 29, Longwell said. He said media personalities who appeal to all genders play a big role.

“The young male vote could be decisive in a very close election,” said Jackson Katz, co-founder of the Young Men’s Research Initiative. Newsweek. “There is a large gender gap among young voters; young women overwhelmingly support Harris. Young men also support her, but by much smaller percentages.”

According to Katz, Trump and his campaign’s appeal to young men lies in his identity-based campaign strategy.

“The Trump campaign’s main strategy toward men — and especially not just white men — is an identity-based appeal. They want to bring home the idea that ‘real men vote Republican,'” he said.

Election day is tomorrow. Follow Newsweek’s live blog latest updates.

Follow Newsweek’s Monica Sager on Twitter @monicasager3 For more election updates from the key state of Pennsylvania.