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Abortion will be voted on in the USA in the 2024 elections
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Abortion will be voted on in the USA in the 2024 elections

By Geoff Mulvihill and Christine Fernando, Associated Press

WASHINGTON (AP) — Voters nine states They are deciding whether state constitutions should guarantee abortion rights and considering ballot measures expected to increase turnout in a number of key races.

Adoption of certain amendments in Arizona, Florida, Missouri, Nebraska, and South Dakota would likely lead to the removal of bans or restrictions that deny various levels of access to abortion for the more than 7 million women of childbearing age living in those states.

The future legality and availability of abortion doesn’t depend solely on ballot measures, as policies can change depending on who controls Congress and the presidency. The same goes for state governments; including legislatures that pursue new laws, state supreme courts that determine the constitutionality of laws, attorneys general who decide whether to defend them, and district attorneys who enforce them.

If all the abortion rights measures pass, “it’s a sign of how much support for reproductive rights has reached,” said Mary Ziegler, a professor at the University of California, Davis School of Law and an expert on the history of reproductive rights. in the USA

“If some of these fail,” he added, “then you will see some conservatives looking for guidance to see what the magic ingredient is that makes it possible for conservatives to stem the tide.”

Voters support abortion rights

Abortion rights advocates prevailed U.S. Supreme Court on all seven injunctions emerging since 2022 Roe v. Wade overturns his case and ended abortion rights nationwide. This decision opened the door to bans or restrictions in most GOP-controlled states and protections of access in most Democratic-controlled states.

Abortion rights campaigns have a big impact fundraising advantage this year. Instead of portraying abortion as immoral, their opponents’ efforts focus on portraying the changes as too extreme.

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Currently, 13 states impose bans on all stages of pregnancy, with some exceptions. In most cases, after about six weeks of pregnancy, a further four bar abortions are performed, often before women realize they are pregnant. Despite the prohibitions, number of abortions per month It has increased slightly in the United States due to increased use of abortion pills and organized efforts to help women travel for abortions. Still, advocates say bans remain reduced accessespecially for low-income and minority residents of prohibited states.

The bans are also part of a key debate in the presidential race. Vice President Kamala Harris former President Donald Trump’s Roe v. He calls these “Trump abortion bans,” noting his role in overturning the Wade case. Harris, meanwhile, has described herself as a direct and consistent advocate for reproductive health and rights, including Black maternal health.

Trump has struggled to distinguish between his base of anti-abortion supporters and his anti-abortion supporters. majority of Americans Supporters of abortion rights rely on the general response that abortion rights should be left to individual states.

His changing postures Open reproductive rights Include swearing in October veto national abortion banJust a few weeks after the presidential debate, rejected many times to say. Trump also cited Roe v. He has also been regularly credited with appointing three Supreme Court justices who helped overturn the Wade case.

Trump’s attempt to find more cautious stance It’s reminiscent of the efforts of many Republican congressional candidates on abortion because the issue has emerged as a major vulnerability for the GOP. Republicans in competitive congressional races from coast to coast they distanced themselves Due to more aggressive anti-abortion policies from their party and allies, despite their record on the issue and previous statements opposing abortion rights.

Measures could reverse bans in five states

Although the ballot box questions have similar purposes, each contains its own political conditions.

There is an additional hurdle to reliably passing protections in Republican Florida: Supporters of the amendment must receive at least 60% of the vote.