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Trump vs. Harris: Latest pre-election polls have Americans holding their breath
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Trump vs. Harris: Latest pre-election polls have Americans holding their breath

STATEN ISLAND, NY — With less than 24 hours until Election Day, the race for the White House couldn’t be any closer; Latest pre-election polls from many media outlets show former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris in a tie.

In a race full of twists and turns, including a replacement at the top of the Democratic ticket, an apparent assassination attempt, a controversial New York City rally and more, Americans are no closer than they already are to knowing who their next president will be. It happened in recent months.

Polls at both the national and state levels have varied widely since the summer, making it nearly impossible to tell which candidate is leading at any point.

Now, as millions of Americans prepare to vote Tuesday, various polls show the candidates tied; This means that whichever party gets more voters can come to the top.

Here’s a look at both candidates’ performance in some recent pre-election polls.

NBC NEWS

One NBC News pollThe survey, which included responses from 1,000 registered voters between Oct. 30 and Nov. 2, showed Trump and Harris tied, with both candidates receiving 49 percent support and the remaining 2 percent still undecided on how to vote.

When voting is expanded to include third-party candidates, Trump is ahead by one point; 47 percent support Trump, 46 percent support Harris, and 7 percent are undecided or plan to vote for a third-party candidate.

As has been the case throughout the election cycle, there remains a large gender gap between the two candidates; Harris leads women 57%-41% and Trump leads men 58%-40%, representing a 34-point lead.

Trump leads by significant margins among rural voters, 75%-23%, among white voters, 56%-42%, and among white voters without a college degree, 64%-34%.

Meanwhile, Harris’ biggest margins are among Black voters at 87-9%, voters under 30 at 57-41%, and white college-educated voters at 55-43%.

“This is very stable compared to where we were in October,” Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt of Hart Research Associates, who conducted the poll with Republican pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies, told NBC News.

“We got further apart and picked our corner,” McInturff added. “Both sides are as locked in as possible and neither moving nor moving.”

NEW YORK POST

A. New York Post pollThe survey, which included responses from 950 likely voters between October 31 and November 3, showed both candidates tied with 49% support, while the remaining 2% planned to vote for a third-party candidate.

The results represent a significant four-point gain for Trump, who trailed Harris 51%-47% in the previous New York Post poll released in early October.

The gender gap in the New York Post’s latest poll is much narrower than in surveys by other media outlets; Among women, Harris is seven points ahead, and among men, Trump is five points ahead, indicating a 12-point difference.

In terms of age, Trump maintains his lead among older voters with a 14 percent increase among those 55 and over, while Harris maintains his lead among younger voters with a 20 percent increase among those 18-34.

Although both candidates were viewed more negatively than positively entering the election, Harris maintained a slight edge among voters.

Approximately 43% have a positive opinion of Harris, while 44% have an unfavorable opinion, giving a net positive opinion of -1%.

Meanwhile, 45 percent have a favorable view of Trump, while 48 percent have an unfavorable view, giving him a net favorable view of -3%.

EMERSON COLLEGE

One Emerson College surveyThe survey, which included responses from 1,000 likely voters between October 30 and November 2, showed the candidates were tied on 49 percent, with 1 percent undecided and 1 percent planning to vote for a third-party candidate.

Whether such national polls or elections can be trusted based on recent results depends on who you ask.

“Harris and Trump voters differ greatly in their confidence in the election: 93% of Harris voters are very or very confident that the election is fair, compared with 40% of Trump voters,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College. . Voting. “Confidence in opinion polls also varies by presidential election: 54% of Harris voters have a lot or a good amount of confidence in opinion polls, compared to 25% of Trump voters.”

Nearly 40 percent of survey respondents said the economy was the most important issue facing the country; followed by immigration (17%), threats to democracy (16%), access to abortion (7%) and healthcare (5%).