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    • New Iowa poll shows Harris up 3 points in Hawkeye State
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    New Iowa poll shows Harris up 3 points in Hawkeye State

    Harry Posted on

    Last step in the race for the White House

    The 2024 presidential contest is hurtling into its final weekend with Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump locked in a razor-thin contest. In this final phase of the campaign, every day counts. While few voters can change their minds this late in a typical election, there is a sense that the events of these final days could change the vote. FOX host Jeane Franseen’s LiveNOW last spoke with political journalist Rich Rubino.

    A shocking new Iowa poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris leading old President Donald Trump Hawkeye State by 3 points.

    Iowa poll sponsored by Des Moines Register He was released on Saturday Three days before the November 5 elections. According to the “gold standard” pollster in Iowa, J. Ann Selzer. Axios.

    RELATING TO: Watch Kamala Harris on SNL: ‘Keep Kamala and move on’

    The poll is an outlier — an Emerson poll released Saturday showed Trump with a 10-point lead in Iowa — but it suggests there could be some surprises on Tuesday. Selzer is known for past polls that accurately predicted Trump’s 8-point lead in Iowa Joe Biden His comfortable victory over Hillary Clinton in 2020 and in 2016.

    Kamala Harris and Donald Trump (Getty Images)

    One big takeaway: The poll shows Harris leading Trump by 20 percentage points among women, and has halved her lead among men since September. Overall, the poll has shifted seven points from Trump to Harris since September.

    MORE: Harris vs. Trump: Who wins the election with 3 days left?

    The poll was conducted among 808 voters in Iowa between October 28 and 31. This was after Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally, where some of Trump’s allies made racist remarks aimed at Harris and key constituencies.

    “It’s hard to say that everyone saw this coming,” Seltzer told The Des Moines Register on Saturday. “He has clearly jumped into the lead.”

    Iowa has long been a battleground state for presidential candidates: It had the narrowest presidential vote margins in the 2000 and 2004 elections when it voted for Democrat Al Gore and then for Republican George W. Bush.

    Which swing state will be most important?

    As Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris engage in a fierce battle in the race for the White House, political forecasters will be monitoring many counties across the country for clues about who has the upper hand as polls begin to close Tuesday evening. University of Western Ontario Department of Political Science professor Matthew Lebo joined FOX’s Josh Breslow’s LiveNOW to discuss.

    Barack Obama was the last Democrat to win the state, in 2008 and 2012, and changes in the state’s political trends since then were thought to have pushed Iowa out of Democratic reach.

    The GOP holds all of Iowa’s congressional seats, the governor’s office, most statewide offices and a disproportionate majority in the state legislature. Trump won Iowa by comfortable margins in 2016 and 2020. This year, neither the candidate nor his running mates have visited Iowa since becoming their party’s nominee.

    Iowa has six electoral votes.

    Harry
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