close
close

Pasteleria-edelweiss

Real-time news, timeless knowledge

New Pa. polls show Harris and Trump escalating with widening gender and education gaps
bigrus

New Pa. polls show Harris and Trump escalating with widening gender and education gaps

Two polls of Pennsylvania voters released Wednesday show the race between them Kamala Harris And Donald Trump The largest sample survey shows a widening political gender divide even as voters describe Trump as less attractive personally.

The polls released Wednesday include a survey of 500 voters from Susquehanna Polling & Research with a margin of error of 4.38 percentage points and a poll of 2,186 voters from Quinnipiac University with a margin of error of 2.1 points.

The Susquehanna poll shows Harris, the current vice president and Democratic presidential candidate, with a percentage point lead over former president Trump.

Susquehanna’s questioning was head-on and made no mention of third-party candidates. Quinnipiac’s equivalent question shows Trump leading Harris by nearly two points.

On a question that included third-party options, Quinnipiac shows Trump leading Harris by a single point; 47% of those who voted for Trump responded to the poll, compared to 46% for Harris, with the remainder being third-party or opt-out voters.

That’s Trump’s best showing in recent Quinnipiac polls, which last showed him trailing Harris by nearly three points on the same question.

Both polls continue Democrat Sen’s trend. Bob Casey Casey outperforms leading Republican rival at top of ticket Dave McCormick By three points in both polls.

Both polls are weighted to represent Pennsylvania’s divided partisan trends and demographics, but show some notable differences in demographic distributions, according to the pollsters.

In a head-to-head race, Susquehanna found Harris leading Trump by a 6.5-point margin among voters ages 18 to 29 and by a 10-point margin among voters ages 30 to 44. The same Quinnipiac question gave Harris a much stronger advantage among the youngest. Among voters, the vice president had a 16-point lead among voters ages 18 to 34 — although the poll used different age ranges.

Both polls show Trump’s advantage concentrated among Generation X voters. an observed trend It is included in many current political data.

Quinnipiac has Trump with a 6-point lead among Pennsylvania voters ages 35 to 49 and a 12-point lead among voters ages 50 to 64. Susquehanna shows Trump trailing Harris by just one point in the 45 to 54 age bracket, but by a massive margin. 16 point advantage among 55-64 year olds.

Harris’ advantage returns among voters 65 and older in both polls, but the Susquehanna poll shows Trump preferred by voters 75 and older.

Quinnipiac’s pollsters also noted the largest gender gap in any recent survey. When third-party options are included, 57% of Pennsylvania men chose Trump while only 37% chose Harris. Among women, these figures are reversed; 55 percent chose Harris and 39 percent chose Trump.

Race also remains a factor, with Harris favored among 75% of Black Pennsylvania voters in the Quinnipiac poll; It’s a massive 57-point deficit compared to Trump’s 15% of Black voters. Trump holds an 11-point advantage among White voters in the latest Quinnipiac poll.

These figures also show a segregation of education that trumps race; This is another phenomenon. mirrors national polls. White Pennsylvania voters with a four-year college degree have Harris by a 16-point margin, according to Quinnipiac; Those who do not support Trump are by 29 points.

Quinnipiac questions about candidates’ personal characteristics and issue handling continue to show strong partisan divides; Voters overwhelmingly say their party’s candidate is a better person with a better stance on any given issue.

But the latest Quinnipiac poll shows two places where partisan loyalty falls below 80%. While 54 percent of voters in Pennsylvania say Trump is dishonest, 49 percent disagree that Harris is honest. Only 77 percent of Republicans believe Trump is honest.

Trump leads Harris on confidence on the economy and immigration by 10 and 12 points, respectively, while Harris has a large lead on abortion. Only 38 percent of voters think Trump would handle the issue better, and only 74 percent of Republicans say the former president would be preferred on abortion.