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Who’s winning? What do the latest polls say now in Pennsylvania and swing states?
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Who’s winning? What do the latest polls say now in Pennsylvania and swing states?

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Election Day only eight days away and swing states swayed, According to polls and odds.

while last two months national surveys While it consistently showed Vice President Kamala Harris in the lead, it continued to narrow from week to week as former President Donald Trump gained ground and took the lead in five of seven critical states that are now likely to decide the race.

Most states consistently vote blue or red 38 states There are people who voted for the same party many times between 2000 and 2016, but some show different tendencies in each election. Battleground states like Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin are getting so close it could go either way.

Pennsylvania is seen as essential to winning the White House, with both Trump and Harris hoping to garner the state’s 19 Electoral College votes on Election Night.

Here’s what the polls and odds say now – about each oscillation states compared to national surveys and odds – As we head into Election Day on Tuesday, November 5th.

Who is leading the swing states’ polls and favored by the odds?

  • ABC News project 538 Harris is ahead by +1.4% in national polls, with Harris at 48.1% to Trump’s 46.7%; Pennsylvania Trump leads +0.3%; Arizona Trump leads +1.9%; Georgia Trump leads +1.5%; Michigan Harris leads +0.4%; Nevada Trump leads +0.2%; North Carolina Trump leads with +1.3%; And Wisconsin Harris leads by +0.1. Harris’ lead has since narrowed last week’s survey results.
  • 270 double wins National polls show Harris with a 0.7% lead over Trump Pennsylvania Trump leads Harris by 0.4% in poll; Arizona Trump ahead by 1.7%; Georgia Trump ahead by 0.9%; Michigan Harris ahead by 0.8%; Nevada Trump ahead by 0.3%; North Carolina Trump leads with 1.1% and Wisconsin Harris leads with 0.4%. Trump has since taken the lead last week’s survey results.
  • realclearpolling It shows that the national betting odds have shifted in Trump’s favor over Harris, with a razor-thin margin of +0.1. Pennsylvania It shows odds in favor of Trump at +0.5; Arizona It shows odds of +1.5 in favor of Trump; Georgia It shows +2.3 in favor of Trump; Michigan It shows +0.1 in favor of Trump; Nevada It shows +0.7 in favor of Trump; North Carolina It shows +0.8 in favor of Trump and Wisconsin It shows +0.3 in favor of Trump. Trump maintains marginal lead in all swing states and national odds last of the week survey results.
  • polymarketA crypto trading platform shows high odds of the national race betting public favoring Trump 66.3% to Harris’ 33.8%. Pennsylvania It shows Trump favored 62% compared to Harris’ 39%. Arizona It shows Trump favored 74% to Harris’ 27%. Georgia It shows Trump favored 74% to Harris’ 27%. Michigan It shows Trump favored 53% to Harris’ 47%. Nevada It shows Trump favored 65% to Harris’ 36%. North Carolina It shows Trump favored by 71% compared to Harris’ 30%. Wisconsin It shows Trump favored by 59% compared to Harris’ 41%. All betting odds increasingly in Trump’s favor over Harris last week’s survey results..

Polls and odds are constantly changing. These figures are reflected as of 11:00 on Monday, October 28, 2024.

How accurate were the election odds or polls in past presidential elections?

betting favorite there is just Lost twice since 1866According to Conversation, it is a non-profit news organization.

record in voting This is more difficult because different pollsters asking questions to different audiences can often achieve higher margins of error.

According to Pew ResearchConfidence in public opinion polls was damaged due to errors in the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections.

In both of these general elections, many polls underestimated the appeal of Republican Donald Trump.