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Harris and Trump deadlocked in battleground state Wisconsin
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Harris and Trump deadlocked in battleground state Wisconsin

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Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris They’re deadlocked in the battleground state of Wisconsin, according to a new exclusive USA TODAY/University of Suffolk poll.

About a week before election day, Trump and Harris are nearly tied, 48 percent to 47 percent, in a statewide survey of 500 likely voters in Wisconsin. The results are within the survey’s 4.4 percent margin of error. The survey was conducted between 20 and 23 October.

But in Door County, Wisconsin, the state’s bellwether, Harris has a slight lead. According to the poll of 300 voters in Door County, Harris leads Trump in this district with 50 percent to 47 percent. The results are still within the 5.7 percent margin of error.

Wisconsin, which has 10 electoral votes, is among several key states that both Trump and Harris want to help propel them to the presidency.

It is considered a state As a “Blue Wall” situation Along with Michigan and Pennsylvania, they were Democratic strongholds for decades. Trump flipped all three states in 2016, helping him win the presidency. Biden won back all three states in 2020.

Most voters in Wisconsin have already made up their minds, with only 2% saying they are still undecided.

One voter, Robert Olin of Milwaukee, said he will vote for Trump because he is disappointed with the way the current administration is handling policies, from the economy to foreign policy in the Middle East to issues at the U.S.-Mexico border. He said he believes Trump’s policies will improve the country.

“I absolutely agree with his stance on improving the country, becoming a country that follows its own laws, is not governed by the media or other parties, and recognizes that there are practical ways to solve economic problems,” Olin, 68, said. Trump’s. He also voted for Trump in the last election.

High costs across the country affected Olin personally. He owns a coffee shop and said high inflation since the pandemic has affected his business “very, very dramatically.” The cost of operations required to keep a business afloat has increased and purchasing a cup of coffee has now become a luxury for most customers.

“When our business hurts, I hurt too,” he said.

But Mary Beth LaHaye, also of Milwaukee, plans to vote for Harris. The 70-year-old said he was impressed by Harris’ “willingness to work across the aisle and bring both parties back together.”

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“Our political system is broken right now,” LaHaye said. She said her top priorities are keeping Social Security and Medicare intact, as well as restoring reproductive rights.

LaHaye, who voted for President Joe Biden in 2020, said he was concerned about Trump’s rhetoric and whether he would accept the election results.

“I know Kamala Harris will not storm the Capitol if Trump wins,” he said. “But if Kamala Harris wins, I don’t know what she could say that would incite people to violence like President Trump did on January 6 (2021).”

A wider gender gap

while there is typically gender difference David Paleologos, director of the Center for Political Studies at Suffolk University, said the effects of the gap between Trump and Harris supporters are more pronounced in the state.

In Wisconsin, Harris has a 14-point lead over Trump among women; 55% to 41%. But Trump had an 18 percentage point increase over Harris among men, 56% to 38%.

Harris’s margin of support among women lags slightly behind support nationally, while Trump’s lead among men remains consistent. Harris holds a 17-point lead over Trump among female voters nationally, 53 percent to 36 percent, according to the latest data. USA TODAY/Suffolk University national poll. Among men, Trump has a 16 percentage point lead over Harris nationally; This ratio is 53 percent to 37 percent.

“(Trump) is finding that men are moving more behind Trump than they were when Biden ran against Trump,” Paleologos said.

Paul Zarling of Brookfield, Wisconsin, said he voted for Trump because the former president already has a proven track record. He added that he wasn’t sure what Harris was doing as vice president and felt like he had flip-flopped on some issues.

“He was president before there was anything, there was no doom and gloom,” said Zarling, 47, who has generally voted Republican in the past.

Mary Kay Wagner, 69, of South Milwaukee, voted for Harris in this election. Wagner, who considers herself an Independent, voted for Biden in 2020. He said he believes Harris can improve the economy and help restore access to abortion.

“The reason I voted for him is because he has a very pragmatic approach to the problems facing the country,” Wagner said. “Knowing that if we are to have a dynamic and growing economy, it will enable everyone to thrive.”

In Door County, Paleologos cited the gender gap as well as the higher average age level as why the county has a better trend for vice president.

“Door County’s demographics may deviate a little more from the typical lead in this election,” he said. “So I think that’s why the frontrunner is a little bit more Democrat-friendly.”

Some voters remain divided and dissatisfied

Although the majority of voters have made up their minds, there is still a small portion of voters in the state who do not know who to support.

Susan Sauerberg of Cedarburg said abortion and access to women’s reproductive health are policies high on her list, and she believes Trump will make it even harder for women. But when it comes to foreign policy, particularly Israel’s war in Gaza, Sauerberg doesn’t know if Harris can handle it.

“I will vote,” said Sauerberg, 60. “I can just say a prayer and do what I feel like at that moment.”

And for Samuel Beaver, a 20-year-old college student living in Madison, neither Trump nor Harris was a good option for him. Beaver, whose mother is Nicaraguan, said Trump was never an option for him because of his comments and policies on immigration. But Harris said she was backtracking on many of her policies, including transgender rights and gender-affirming care.

Beaver said he would vote for the Green Party’s Jill Stein instead.

“The most pressing issue on my mind is the foreign policy of the United States, especially the differences between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party,” he said. “I feel like they both committed the same actions.”

Sarah Paul, a 43-year-old resident of Random Lake, said she would vote for Harris. He supports Harris’ passion for abortion access and LGBTQ issues and believes Trump’s disparaging remarks about military members and people with disabilities are “not what a president should be doing.”

“Our elections are not perfect,” he said. “They rarely do.”